Pubblicato da: Massimiliano Neri | 22 settembre 2008

Shostak sul piano di salvataggio finanziario USA

La posizione del Mises Institute sull’annunciato piano USA di salvataggio finanziario in un articolo di Frank Shostak.

Ecco le conclusioni:

The Bush administration is asking Congress to let the government buy $700 billion in bad mortgages as part of the largest financial bailout since the Great Depression. The plan would give the government broad power to buy the bad debt of any US financial institutions for the next two years. It would also raise the statutory limit on the national debt from $10.6 trillion to $11.3 trillion.

At the root of the problem are not mortgage-backed assets as such but the Fed’s boom-bust policies. It is the extremely loose monetary policy between January 2001 and June 2004 that set in motion the massive housing bubble (the federal-funds-rate target was lowered from 6% to 1%). It is the tighter stance between June 2004 and September 2007 that burst the housing bubble (the federal-funds-rate target was lifted from 1% to 5.25%).

On account of the time lag, we suggest that the tighter interest stance of the Fed between June 2004 and September 2007 has so far only hit the real-estate market and financial institutions.

Various bubble activities that sprang up on the back of loose monetary policy between January 2001 and June 2004 are not only in the real-estate and financial sectors; they are also in the other parts of the economy.

Consequently, there is a growing likelihood that these activities will come under pressure in the month ahead regardless of the rescue package. Since these activities are the product of loose monetary policy, obviously the banks that supported them are going to incur more bad assets, which will put more pressure on banks’ net worth.

Contrary to popular belief, the rescue package cannot help the economy; it will only severely weaken wealth generators. (The larger the package, the more misery it will inflict.) Hence, once the massive rescue plan is implemented, it will not prevent an economic slump but, rather, runs the risk of plunging the economy into the mother of all recessions.


Responses

  1. […]it will not prevent an economic slump but, rather, runs the risk of plunging the economy into the mother of all recessions[…]

    Perchè questo è l’obbiettivo, non un effetto collaterale imprevisto.

    Il potere è SOLO socialista.

  2. Condivido in pieno l’analisi che quanto succede sia parte di una pianificazione pluriennale ben precisa i cui effetti si vedranno tra qualche anno come parte di un cambiamento geopolitico globale.

    PS. una curiositá correlata: l’hotel in PAkistan, obiettivo di un attentato “terroristico” é bruciato per ore fino alla completa consunzione… ma non é crollato… la struttura é rimasta integra al suo posto…

  3. Si, solo in USA i grattacieli d’acciao crollano per il fuoco e gli arei evaporano per il troppo caldo.

    Nel resto dell’universo valgono delle diverse leggi della fisica.

    Ma si sa… dopo tutto anche la fisica è opera demiurgica.


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